President-elect Donald Trump is planning to kill the $US7,500 consumer tax credit for electric-vehicle purchases in the US, as his transition team plots a broad package of tax-reform legislation, and it appears his new best buddy, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, is delighted.
Reuters reported the decision on Thursday, US time, citing “two sources with direct knowledge of the matter”, and it confirms comments made by Trump during the campaign.
But even though analysts and activists say it could slow down the already stalling uptake of EVs in the world’s biggest economy, Reuters also reports that Tesla – the dominant player in the US market – is happy with the move because it will effectively remove competition, along with the hefty tariff on Chinese imports.
“Representatives of Tesla – by far the nation’s biggest EV maker – have told a Trump-transition committee they support ending the subsidy, said the two sources, speaking on condition of anonymity,” Reuters reported.
The EV tax credit is part of Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act’, and according to Reuters has benefited more than 300,000 EV drivers and saved consumers over $US2 billion so far this year. Even the industry trade group supports it and has urged the Trump transition team to keep them.
The IRA provides a tax credit of up to $7,500 for new electric vehicles that meet certain production requirements. The law also provides a tax credit of up to $4,000 for used electric vehicles, which is meaningful as the majority of consumers buy used vehicles. The Biden-Harris administration has ensured these consumer savings can be applied immediately at the point-of-sale.
“Donald Trump’s attack on the EV tax credit would backfire on Americans, robbing people of their choice to buy electric vehicles that are good for our economy, the climate, and clean air,” Sierra Club Director of the Clean Transportation for All campaign Katherine García said in a statement.
“The Inflation Reduction Act is bringing clean energy to families across the nation while saving people money and investing in communities, including in many Republican districts. The Sierra Club will fight tooth and nail with industry allies against any effort to repeal these incredibly popular tax credits.”
Trump has said that EVs would “kill” the U.S. auto industry, describing shift to electric cars as a “transition to hell”, and reportedly offered to gut pro-EV regulations in return for the oil lobby’s support for his candidacy. Vice president elect J.D. Vance has described EVs as a “scam.”
Musk, who quit Trump’s advisory council in his first term over his decision to quit the Paris Treaty, and who – Electrek reports – now views the “woke mind virus” as a bigger threat to humanity than climate change, has indicated he has no problems with the ditching of the tax credit.
That’s probably because Tesla has just about exhausted its access to them. Musk has also been appointed co-head of the new Department of Government Efficiency by Trump, with a promise to slash government spending.
“I guess that there would be some impact, but I think it would be devastating for our competitors and for Tesla slightly,” Musk told analysts in an earnings call in July when asked about the likelihood of EV tax credits being rescinded “But long term, [it] probably actually helps Tesla.”
On Thursday, Musk wrote on his platform X, with Trump-style caps: “ALL government spending is taxation. This is a very important concept to appreciate. It is either direct taxation, like income tax, or indirect via inflation due to increasing the money supply.”
Musk is apparently now more interested in autonomous cars, or RoboCabs, than he is in EVs driven by humans. To do that, however, will require the approval of regulatory authorities, whose budgets he may well have an influence over, at least at the federal level.
The prospect that he will be successful has underwritten a 40 per cent surge in Tesla’s market value over the past week, adding $A500 billion to its market cap before falling back slightly over the last two days.
Giles Parkinson is founder and editor of The Driven, and also edits and founded the Renew Economy and One Step Off The Grid web sites. He has been a journalist for nearly 40 years, is a former business and deputy editor of the Australian Financial Review, and owns a Tesla Model 3.
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It's not entirely surprising.
Mr. Musk has always been a vocal opponent of subsidies for industry.
That's not to say Tesla was going to knock it back, of course, but they can live without it.
What's a bit more troubling is that other US legacy auto is not making EV's profitably, so may be sorely burnt by this.
Huge China import tariffs may not actually stop imports as China can make them cheap enough to cover any penalties.
It's important to remember China doesn't prioritise profit.
They basically just want employment and foreign currency.
Musk has always said we should remove ALL Subsidies and that includes Fossil Fuels. But that's not happening. So Tesla ends up with the worst of both worlds, no subsides for him and Fossil Fuels keeps theirs. Epic fail!
How has Tesla "just about exhausted access" to the credits? They will sell about 425,000 cars this year that were eligible for the credits. Next year, the additional battery capacity from new factories will allow Tesla to increase that number to over 600,000 eligible vehicles per year.
I missed out on the rebate to buy an EV and got charged a luxury car tax. Even though the same car if it was an ICE car didn't end up paying a luxury car tax. But bought it anyway. Some of us will opt for an EV for environmental reasons or for the fact that to drive an EV is just the most incredible enjoyable experience but sadly many won't. I am so glad I didn't support Elon Musk by buying a Tesla
Which CEO did you end up supporting instead?
Plenty of EVs under that LCT threshold. If you bought a luxury EV over that well good on you but there's no exemption above that amount, nor should there be. That said, the LCT is a relic that would be best applied to ICE only. Anything that gets more EVs into the market has to be a good thing.
Too late. The genie is out of the bottle. China will be exporting BEVs and PHEVs at price parity with ICE globally in 18 months, and then the US becomes effectively a closed market.
The only way forward for the US is to massively compete with China for EVs.
That penny will drop in due course, if it hasn't already behind the scenes.
This will encourage lower prices from manufacturers, because the taxpayer will not be footing part of the bill. EV prices fell in Australia when Government subsidies were removed.
More money available for SpaceX. Tesla served it's purpose of self-promotion and stage strutting......in the same way Twitter served it's purpose of follower gathering and nonsense spreading.